Curious sales

Discussion in 'Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles' started by bwilson4web, Mar 12, 2019.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web Well-Known Member Subscriber

  2. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    I figure FCV sales have peaked anyway. Most people are not taken in by the sales slogan "FCVs are the next step beyond BEVs" and are realizing that paying 3 times more for H2 than electrons is not worth the "convenience" of having to go to the H2 station every week.
     
  3. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

  4. Pushmi-Pullyu

    Pushmi-Pullyu Well-Known Member

    Yes, and I only wish that had happened sooner. Far better to see money spent on practical plug-in EVs.

     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web Well-Known Member Subscriber

    "There is little learning in the second kick of a mule."

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    March sales of new FCVs are up so near return to normal. Q1 2019 sales are less than Q1 2018 and more than Q1 2017.
     
  7. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    Hot month for Mirai sales. 202 new which means the first 4 months of this year is higher than first 4 months of any previous year.
    Used Mirai are also selling very well, median price has dropped (about $2k) to just below $19k but there are now 46 on the market down from a high of 59 about a month ago. 34 used Mirai sold in April.
     
  8. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    Curious piece of trivia. Early April a Mirai for sale by a used dealer for about $16.5k was de-listed. So I figured sold. Three weeks later the car shows up at a Toyota dealer for about $25.5k, and about 100 miles more. $9,000 mark-up! But I have noticed that cars sold by Toyota dealers are significantly higher price than used car lots.
     
    Last edited: May 3, 2019
  9. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    I have a request for anyone who owns a Mirai or has access to one. There is an expiry date printed on the inside of the fuel door. It is illegal to re-fuel the car after this date. How many years from date of manufacture is this?
     
  10. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    I did get an answer to my previous question about fuel cell expiration and now I can't remember for sure, but I think 18 years from date of manufacture of the tank itself, and for Murai some of those tanks were made 2 years before being installed in the car.
     
  11. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    I have continued to follow used Mirai sales and my previous observation about the most expensive ones sell much more than the cheaper ones was especially true in the last couple of months. The cheapest are $14k but most sold were over $22k. Now in fairness, I don't actually know what these cars were sold for, only the prices I am quoting were the asking price before they were not listed anymore. 6 out of 7 sales this month were between 20,688 and 28,888, and one was $16,988.

    Another thing puzzles me, sales in 2016 up to July were 30 to 52 per month, but August was 371 and ever since most months over 100. What caused the huge jump in August? I assumed that was when Toyota introduced their fantastic leasing program, just under $400/mth, no down payment, free H2 fuel for 3 years. So I expected to see a flood of lease returns to show up this August. But in fact the rate of used Mirai appearing on the market is unchanged from previous months and now stands at 20 vehicles for this month. Either there is going to be a huge dump in the next 2 weeks, or more likely my assumption is wrong. Does anybody know when the lease deal with free fuel started? Does anybody know why August 2016 had the largest monthly sales ever?
     
  12. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    So far 1089 new Mirai have been sold this year up to end of July. For the same time period 2017 was 708 and 2018 was 743.
     
  13. Pushmi-Pullyu

    Pushmi-Pullyu Well-Known Member

    Looks to me like the expiration date on the Mirai is 14 years from date of manufacture, not 18.

    Not that it matters; surely nobody* will be foolish enough to keep a FCEV past the time they still get free fuel!

    *Well, almost nobody will be that foolish. But there seems to be one in every crowd!

     
    NeilBlanchard likes this.
  14. Roy_H

    Roy_H Active Member

    To answer one of my previous questions, I found out that the free H2 fuel for 3 years has been in effect from the very beginning. All Mirai sold to date have had this free fuel promotion.

    Now August has passed and the mystery of 371 sales in August 2016 not producing the huge bump in used Mirai I expected to see on the market remains a puzzle. There were 38 used cars added and average for previous months was about 21. Only 17 used Mirai sold in August, which brings the total for sale I am tracking to an all time high of 68 units. Since I have been following this (February), 128 have been sold.
     
    bwilson4web likes this.
  15. gooki

    gooki Active Member

    I wonder how many have been purchased by universities for research/study.
     
  16. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web Well-Known Member Subscriber

    I figured the CARB board members and their supporters bought/leased them. With about 40 stations costing ~$2m each in subsidies, California is in for ~$80m to cover about 4-5,000 fuel cell vehicles. Yes, some of them are academics. Buying commercial fuel cell vehicles for a university would not be terribly useful for any studies. Hopefully, California will get a clue and close the program down perhaps after the Japanese olympics.

    Hummm, maybe new trade policies will solve the problem. After all, there are no USA based fuel cell vehicles to speak of.

    Bob Wilson
     
    Last edited: Sep 9, 2019
  17. gooki

    gooki Active Member

    I meant the used ones. Must be a cheap way to get a fully functional fuel cell stack.

    Or Nicola Motors have been snapping them up for their trucks.
     

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