I think that's mostly true for the type of people that you mention. In my case my weekly driving is usually pretty consistent, but it has a "standard variation" to it that tends to throw off the GOM. I mostly do local trips during the week, but then every weekend I do an 80 mile round trip, about half of which is on the freeway. I have learned from experience that when I get on the freeway the estimated miles will be overstated and I will reach 0 quite a bit sooner than it says, so I know to switch to HV sooner than GOM would indicate. Then by the time I am driving home it has adjusted to the freeway driving, and since the last several miles are on slower surface streets, if I want to arrive home with 0 EV miles I have learned to switch to EV about three miles sooner than the GOM would indicate.
The key here is comparing the GOM to actual miles in different situations to build experience in how to best interpret it. Which many of us here have done, I know you have, but my observation is that only a small percentage of owners do this. It's surprising how many people have never even once tracked their actual EV miles, instead making the assumption that the GOM is a reliable indication on which to base an opinion on what type of EV range they are getting. You can tell from the many posts where there is happiness when the GOM is up, and despair when it is down, but if someone asks what the actual miles are they don't have a clue. I'm not criticizing, been there done that when I first got the car, after all there's a number right in front of you, and with nothing else to go by and no obvious reason to question it, many people don't. And tracking actual miles take a little more effort, although having the trip meter automatically reset to 0 every time you charge certainly makes it easier, but a large number of owners don't even know you can do that.
So yes when someone reports what their GOM says, maybe what they are reporting is accurate, but it's just as likely to be totally misleading. No way to know one way or the other unless the poster gives some indication that they know about the need for "calibrating" their GOM to actual miles. Not saying you don't already know this or believe this I'm sure that you do, but it's just something that has to constantly be brought up or else discussions where people are giving their anecdotal stories about their range are just not very useful.